Republicans have already begun allocating staff and money for ad buys and touting strong candidate recruitment in states like New Mexico and Colorado, which are not at the core of the midterm fight but could be caught in a red wave if it rises high enough. How far could Republicans reach? Pretty far, as The Hill notes: Add in the stalling of the Democratic legislative agenda in Congress and continued Republican interference with voting rights in the states and you don’t have an atmosphere likely to produce strong Democratic turnout in November. This isn’t easy at a time when hype and spin and proclamations of impending total victory seem to be part of the GOP’s DNA, partly thanks to the former president.īut the “stretching” of the map of competitive races does seem likely if the bad economic and foreign news continues. And Republicans need to be realistic about the possible extent of their midterm gains if they want to target their resources effectively and avoid their own disappointing election. Well, there’s the little matter of a Donald Trump, who threatens to take away some of the focus that typically makes midterms a referendum on the current president’s performance while also creating unnecessary primary fights that may not result in the strongest possible general-election candidates. That’s why the map has a really huge opportunity to stretch.” “And there’s been nothing, literally nothing to date, that looks to disrupt a really, really positive environment for candidates running in red, purple and blue areas. “This year, the first midterm after a president’s been elected with both houses of Congress, it sets up really well,” said one GOP strategist with experience working in Colorado. According to The Hill, GOP strategists are now raising their own expectations and preparing for a wave that will sweep not only contests in highly competitive territory but those that could turn blue areas red: So it’s not surprising to see exceptional optimism emanating from Republican circles. The underwhelming nature of the Democratic victory in 2020 (especially in the House, where Democrats lost seats instead of posting the gains they expected) makes hanging on to the trifecta very difficult and historically improbable, particularly given President Biden’s poor job approval ratings, which have stabilized in the low 40s for the moment. There is no landscape more inviting than a narrowly held trifecta for your opponents: Democrats will bear responsibility for the mood of voters troubled by a stubborn pandemic, a sudden burst of inflation, a dangerous unstable international situation, and the inability of the governing party to deliver on many of its ambitious promises. Whatever is bad for the current Democratic-controlled federal government of the United States is good for the Republican Party as it looks forward eagerly to this November’s midterms. House Republican Leader Kevin McCarthy expects to be a happy chappy in November unless Donald Trump pushes him aside.
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